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Global
Demand for Energy Impacts Electricity Rates
08/25/2006
You may ask what
a building boom in China has to do with rising electric rates in
the United States, and the surprising answer is: a lot.
Although it varies greatly by region and by supplier, electricity
rates are beginning to climb all around the country. In some areas,
consumers already have seen their electricity bills go up by
as
much as 40 percent or more. This comes as a surprise to many consumers
who have seen relatively stable electricity rates for the last 20
years.
The reasons for these rate increases include soaring natural gas
prices, escalating environmental compliance costs for power plants
and structural problems in competitive markets. Factors such as
these cause the wholesale price of electricity to go up, which then
gets passed on to the end-use consumer. Less evident though is the
fact that global competition for fuels also impacts the price of
electricity for consumers in the United States.
Simple supply and demand is why increased global competition
makes the price of energy go up in the U.S. When the supply cannot
keep up with the demand, prices go up, said Dave Mohre, executive
director of the National
Rural Electric Cooperative Associations energy and power
division.
Worldwide demand for fuel is growing significantly. According to
the Energy Information Administration, worldwide energy consumption
is projected to increase by 57 percent from 2002 to 2025. Electricity
consumption is expected to double during that period.
China is the fastest growing major economy in the world right now.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) there has consistently topped 9 percent
compared with 3.5 percent in the United States. And there is a building
boom in China. According to Chinese officials, one out of every
five construction cranes in the world is in use in the Shanghai
industrial region alone. This means more demand not only for energy
but building materials such as steel and cement, which are used
to build power plants in the U.S.
The Chinese now drive more cars than ever too. Drivers in Beijing
and Shanghai are buying 7400 new cars per day. This causes a great
demand for oil, which rose in China by more than a million and a
quarter barrels from 2003 to 2004. Thats two times greater
than the U.S. increase in demand.
India is running a close second to China in terms of its economic
growth, which last year grew by more than 7 percent.
The growth in these countries and other growing economies around
the world has caused them to import more coal and natural gas to
run their power plants. This causes the price of both of these energy
sources to go up worldwide. About 70 percent of the power produced
in the U.S. comes from coal and natural gas, so this worldwide demand
really affects the price of electricity here.
While many electric co-ops and their consumer-members will have
to adjust to higher electricity bills in the coming years, members
of co-ops do have some distinct advantages over other consumers.
Most co-op power comes from coal-based power plants. Coal is more
plentiful in the U.S. and less susceptible to the sharp ups and
downs of oil and natural gas prices. Also, co-ops have excellent
ratings on Wall Street. Their finances are in good shape for expanding
their own power generation and transmission, which will make them
more insulated from the price volatility of buying electricity elsewhere.
Lastly, electric co-ops are not-for-profit and are owned by the
people they serve. This ensures that co-ops
are always trying to get the best price when securing electricity
to supply their local member-owners rather than trying to charge
the highest price to please distant stockholders. Click
here to see a list of all Kentucky electric cooperatives.
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Kentucky Association of
Electric Cooperatives, Inc.
4515 Bishop Lane * Louisville, KY 40218
502-451-2430 * FAX: 502-459-3209
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